Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.028535 0.030725 0.032922 0.035288 0.037759 0.040263 0.042986
2025-11-09 0.024322 0.027750 0.031311 0.035271 0.039539 0.043986 0.048957
2025-11-16 0.021692 0.025813 0.030203 0.035196 0.040689 0.046520 0.053151
2025-11-23 0.019571 0.024172 0.029180 0.034986 0.041485 0.048489 0.056563
2025-11-30 0.017905 0.022876 0.028394 0.034900 0.042291 0.050360 0.059769
2025-12-07 0.016198 0.021402 0.027291 0.034347 0.042476 0.051458 0.062042
2025-12-14 0.014646 0.020003 0.026180 0.033698 0.042474 0.052278 0.063943
2025-12-21 0.013207 0.018650 0.025044 0.032945 0.042285 0.052830 0.065491
2025-12-28 0.012690 0.018385 0.025171 0.033649 0.043767 0.055278 0.069190
2026-01-04 0.011917 0.017753 0.024814 0.033743 0.044504 0.056844 0.071860
2026-01-11 0.011119 0.017044 0.024325 0.033644 0.044983 0.058089 0.074141
2026-01-18 0.010748 0.016863 0.024472 0.034304 0.046360 0.060379 0.077637
2026-01-25 0.010071 0.016288 0.024149 0.034430 0.047159 0.062074 0.080550
2026-02-01 0.009352 0.015629 0.023705 0.034402 0.047779 0.063576 0.083272
2026-02-08 0.008679 0.014990 0.023250 0.034329 0.048318 0.064961 0.085840
2026-02-15 0.008008 0.014313 0.022713 0.034123 0.048668 0.066103 0.088104
2026-02-22 0.007436 0.013743 0.022290 0.034038 0.049151 0.067391 0.090536
2026-03-01 0.006743 0.012955 0.021537 0.033494 0.049030 0.067923 0.092042
2026-03-08 0.006074 0.012158 0.020736 0.032855 0.048762 0.068255 0.093288
2026-03-15 0.005425 0.011349 0.019883 0.032114 0.048336 0.068368 0.094250
2026-03-22 0.005267 0.011300 0.020098 0.032807 0.049761 0.070783 0.098034
2026-03-29 0.004941 0.010960 0.019880 0.032899 0.050395 0.072207 0.100600
2026-04-05 0.004581 0.010544 0.019534 0.032802 0.050771 0.073299 0.102753